Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays
MLB · Fri, Sep 11, 7:11 PM EDT
Final score
Houston Astros 1—Tampa Bay Rays 3
SlateSense picked Tampa Bay Rays Spread (-1.5) (+130) — Winner
Original pick
Tampa Bay RaysSpread (-1.5)+130on Fanatics
Confidence at pick time: 65/99 (Slight Value)
Factors at pick time
+
Home Dominance
47-25 at home (65%)
+
Home Field
Playing at home — crowd, routine, and familiarity advantage
+
Recent Pitching Edge
Drew Rasmussen 1.89 vs Miguel Ullola 9.00 over last 3 starts
+
Pitcher Hot
Drew Rasmussen at 1.89 ERA over last 3 starts
+
Staff WHIP Edge
1.15 WHIP vs opponent's 1.35
+
Opponent Bullpen Cold
Opponent bullpen at 7.50 ERA over last 2 games (6.0 IP)
-
Bullpen Cold
Bullpen at 6.35 ERA over last 2 games (5.7 IP)
Frequently asked
What was SlateSense's pick for Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays?
SlateSense picked Tampa Bay Rays Spread (-1.5) at +130 with a confidence of 65/99. The pick won.
Who won Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays?
Final score: Houston Astros 1, Tampa Bay Rays 3.
How does SlateSense generate its picks?
SlateSense scores each side of every game across 50+ factors including team records, recent form, pitcher/goalie matchups, line movement, weather, injuries, rest, advanced metrics (run differential, net rating, etc.), and market disagreement. The model picks the side with the larger factor score when the gap is meaningful.
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